Zaun is Unlucky?

From Roch Kubatko's blog:

Trembley noted that Zaun has hit "in some tough luck."

"I think for a guy who has played as long as Zaun has, you've got to look at the track record and see what he is, and that's basically a .250 hitter, and I think that's what he would be," Trembley said.

Is Dave Trembley correct in his assessment of Gregg Zaun this season?

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A quick way to find out is PrOPS.

Zaun's Actual Line: .111/.238/.185
Zaun's PrOPS Line: .241/.347/.303

It does appear that Zaun has been unlucky early this season. And if you take his expected line through PrOPS, he is much closer to the .250 hitter that Dave Trembley is expecting.

So should Chad Moeller get more playing time at this point?

Moeller's Actual Line: .250/.318/.450
Moeller's PrOPS Line: .316/.373/.538

Probably. Based on Moeller's hot bat and Zaun's cold one it probably wouldn't hurt things to split the time equally at least.



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Keep Zaunie In There

Here's a short one, but I thought it was mildly interesting and may lead to a bit of discussion. It regards the strange pattern of O's games thus far, which many people seem to have noticed.

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With Gregg Zaun behind the plate, the O's are 6-0 with 45 runs scored (though ZAUN! is hitting just .136/.269/.273) and 28 runs allowed (4.67 per game).

With Chad Moeller behind the plate, the O's are 0-3 with 11 runs scored (Moeller is hitting .364/.364/.727) and 41 runs allowed (13.67 per game).

Incredibly small sample size, but it at least merits keeping an eye one. (Not really, but it's kind of interesting.)
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